今年老百姓能否吃到便宜猪肉？农业农村部最新回应

农产品的价格，特别是“菜篮子”产品的价格，消费者一直都非常关心，这是民生关注的一个焦点。中央农办主任、农业农村部部长唐仁健介绍，猪肉从去年开始我们就采取了多项措施来支持恢复生猪的产能，稳定生猪生产和市场供应。按原来的计划，去年年底生猪存栏要恢复到正常年景，也就是2017年水平的80%，截至去年底，已经恢复到92%以上，超过预期12个百分点。所以最近，尤其在“两节”前后才能感到，在这样的价格水平上，没有像前些时期那么大幅度的增长。现在市场供应供求总体势头是好的。

Consumers have always been very concerned about the prices of agricultural products, especially the prices of "vegetable baskets", and this is a focus of people's livelihood. Tang Renjian, director of the Central Agriculture Office and Minister of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, introduced that since last year, we have taken a number of measures to support the restoration of pig production capacity and stabilize pig production and market supply. According to the original plan, at the end of last year, the live pig inventory should be restored to its normal year, which is 80% of the 2017 level. As of the end of last year, it had recovered to more than 92%, which was 12 percentage points higher than expected. Therefore, recently, especially around the "two festivals", we can feel that at such a price level, there has not been such a substantial increase as in previous periods. The overall momentum of supply and demand in the market is now good.

下一步，随着新增的生猪产能陆续兑现为猪肉产量，猪肉市场供应最紧张的时期已经过去，后期供需关系将会越来越宽松。预计今年一季度，也就是3月份前后，将比上年同期增长四成左右。到二季度也就是6月份前后，生猪存栏可以恢复到2017年正常年景的水平。下半年，生猪出栏和猪肉供应将逐步恢复到正常年景水平。

In the next step, as the newly added live pig production capacity continues to be realized as pork production, the most tight period of pork market supply has passed, and the supply-demand relationship will become more relaxed in the later period. It is expected that the first quarter of this year, around March, will increase by about 40% over the same period last year. By the second quarter, around June, the pig stock can be restored to the level of the normal year in 2017. In the second half of the year, live pig production and pork supply will gradually return to normal annual levels.

 

来源：北京日报

Source: Beijing Daily